In order of descending likelihood: >Nimona
Has a message that Hollywood likes, and it may also be seen as a mild jab at Disney. >Super Mario Bros Movie
No chance of winning, but might be seen as a way to garner interest in the award. >Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Mutant Mayhem
Representation points. >Trolls Band Together
The academy has done dumber things. >Ruby Gillman
Maybe if Dreamworks sends a Rolex with every review copy.
Of course, none of this matters because Spider-man has a lock on this again.
Wish is still going to get nominated, don't be stupid, it's just got no chance of winning. I mean come on, this is the same academy that nominated shit like fricking Ferdinand, the John Cena movie about a fricking bull.
In order of descending likelihood: >Nimona
Has a message that Hollywood likes, and it may also be seen as a mild jab at Disney. >Super Mario Bros Movie
No chance of winning, but might be seen as a way to garner interest in the award. >Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Mutant Mayhem
Representation points. >Trolls Band Together
The academy has done dumber things. >Ruby Gillman
Maybe if Dreamworks sends a rolex with every review copy.
Of course, none of this matters because Spider-man has a lock on this again.
>Nimona
I know Cinemaphile is hopelessly delusional and out of touch, but holy fricking shit. For comparison, ATSV currently has a better chance to win Best Picture than Nimona has in the Animated Category.
If the audience reception is even half-way decent (not necessarily good), Wish is still getting in. Way more people will have seen it than Nimona and it's obviously going to do much better with little kids.
If critic score was like 60% I’d agree but it’s tanking hard. I think Wish will get decent negative buzz about how poorly it was received critically, enough to deter mindless Academy voters from picking it. It’ll still be close but think there’s a decent chance it doesn’t get picked.
Try reading the posts before replying. It literally says all of this is moot because Spiderverse is a "lock".
If the audience reception is even half-way decent (not necessarily good), Wish is still getting in. Way more people will have seen it than Nimona and it's obviously going to do much better with little kids.
>Wish is still getting in
Right now, half of the internet is crowing about another Disney woke failure, the other half is already distancing itself from it by labeling it conservative, and a whole bunch of writers and actors are still angry at what Iger said during the strikes and the layoffs. Wish is not a shoe-in.
This is the first year the Academy inclusivity rules will kick in. They already got blacks covered. They need to appease the gays next.
Nimona was alright, but I do want it to be nominated over Wish now that I know Disney just made that movie but worse >characters fighting against a tyrannical regime that disguises itself as a nice kingdom with lies and manipulating people >Villains dressed in pure white to trick others into thinking they're "good" just because they wear heroic colors
At least Nimona has actual characters instead of Wish's curated marketable cast.
I don't think there's a single person who unironically thinks Mario should be an oscar nominee outside of the people who think Peaches is somehow an oscar worthy best original song.
No, it's more like: war bad, living in the moment good, and also dealing with loss is hard and live will sometimes be painful but you gotta keep going.
nah. it's for sure going to be Spider-Verse 2 or The Boy and the Heron. And I think Miyazaki's movie will sweep the critic awards (National Board of Review, New York Critics, LA Critics)
Spider-Verse is a trilogy and this is the second one. I think the third one will win in 2024 or 2025 but not this one
The Boy and the Heron is one of the weirdest movies I've ever seen. It's like Miyazaki's Inland Empire or an artsy Euro film so it probably will win the critic awards but the oscars don't like that kind of shit in general. Also, John lassetter who was pushing Miyazaki films is not there anymore.
So now I think Elemental will win as all things considered.
Miyasaki has very distinct eras in his films. He has stories about romance, about ecology, he has surrealist movies, historical movies, action-adventure and quiet films too.
The Wind Rises is nothing like Totoro. Totoro is nothing like Mononoke. Mononoke is nothing like Howl. Howl is nothing like Ponyo
Gaming journalism back in the 00s taught me to not give a frick about reviews and awards because they're all self-congratulating or paid promotions from vermin people who live in another reality. And Eurovision after Lordi won further cemented it.
What I'm trying to say is frick award ceremonies such as the Oscars.
In order of descending likelihood:
>Nimona
Has a message that Hollywood likes, and it may also be seen as a mild jab at Disney.
>Super Mario Bros Movie
No chance of winning, but might be seen as a way to garner interest in the award.
>Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Mutant Mayhem
Representation points.
>Trolls Band Together
The academy has done dumber things.
>Ruby Gillman
Maybe if Dreamworks sends a Rolex with every review copy.
Of course, none of this matters because Spider-man has a lock on this again.
Wish is still going to get nominated, don't be stupid, it's just got no chance of winning. I mean come on, this is the same academy that nominated shit like fricking Ferdinand, the John Cena movie about a fricking bull.
>a fricking bull
who should win? The Boy and the Heron
Who will win? Spiderslop in the Multiverse of meme references.
My money is on the Netflix lgbT movie that premiered during pride month.
>Nimona
I know Cinemaphile is hopelessly delusional and out of touch, but holy fricking shit. For comparison, ATSV currently has a better chance to win Best Picture than Nimona has in the Animated Category.
No one thinks Nimona would win. Winner will be Heron or Spiderverse. We’re simply talking about filling in an empty space in the nominations.
Personally I think the fifth spot will be Nimona or TMNT.
If the audience reception is even half-way decent (not necessarily good), Wish is still getting in. Way more people will have seen it than Nimona and it's obviously going to do much better with little kids.
If critic score was like 60% I’d agree but it’s tanking hard. I think Wish will get decent negative buzz about how poorly it was received critically, enough to deter mindless Academy voters from picking it. It’ll still be close but think there’s a decent chance it doesn’t get picked.
Try reading the posts before replying. It literally says all of this is moot because Spiderverse is a "lock".
>Wish is still getting in
Right now, half of the internet is crowing about another Disney woke failure, the other half is already distancing itself from it by labeling it conservative, and a whole bunch of writers and actors are still angry at what Iger said during the strikes and the layoffs. Wish is not a shoe-in.
This is the first year the Academy inclusivity rules will kick in. They already got blacks covered. They need to appease the gays next.
>the other half is already distancing itself from it by labeling it conservative
what kek. I think people just think it's a crummy movie.
Of course it's just a crummy movie. Just like The Marvels and Indiana Jones. It doesn't stop the media and youtubers from framing it as a culture war.
Nimona was alright, but I do want it to be nominated over Wish now that I know Disney just made that movie but worse
>characters fighting against a tyrannical regime that disguises itself as a nice kingdom with lies and manipulating people
>Villains dressed in pure white to trick others into thinking they're "good" just because they wear heroic colors
At least Nimona has actual characters instead of Wish's curated marketable cast.
Probably Nimona. It feels the best fit.
Casuals will complain if Mario is snubbed with how well it performed in the box office.
I don't think there's a single person who unironically thinks Mario should be an oscar nominee outside of the people who think Peaches is somehow an oscar worthy best original song.
Mario is 100% better than Spider-Man, Wish, and Elemental. I haven't seen the other two.
If Mario gets nominated I’m burning down the Oscars.
Is the boy and the Heron like, nature good countryside good & city bad?
No, it's more like: war bad, living in the moment good, and also dealing with loss is hard and live will sometimes be painful but you gotta keep going.
Literally every Ghibli movie ever
Chicken Run 2 is also a dud. Also Elemental got middling reviews but was saved by a come back from behind box office story
now I think Elemental will win
nah. it's for sure going to be Spider-Verse 2 or The Boy and the Heron. And I think Miyazaki's movie will sweep the critic awards (National Board of Review, New York Critics, LA Critics)
As it should. Spider-verse and boy and the heron are objectively the best choices. Frick Pixar and Disney, they had a mid year.
I mean I like Elemental a lot but I don't stan it for an award like I did for Turning Red.
Spider-Verse is a trilogy and this is the second one. I think the third one will win in 2024 or 2025 but not this one
The Boy and the Heron is one of the weirdest movies I've ever seen. It's like Miyazaki's Inland Empire or an artsy Euro film so it probably will win the critic awards but the oscars don't like that kind of shit in general. Also, John lassetter who was pushing Miyazaki films is not there anymore.
So now I think Elemental will win as all things considered.
I think that the nominees will be
1. The Boy and the Heron
2. Spider-Verse 2
3. Elemental
4. TMNT Mutant Mayhem
5. Nimona
6. Suzume (maybe)
What would be hilarious is if The Boy and the Heron get a best picture nomination, but then loses best animated movie to Spider-man.
heh. Maybe.
It’s gonna be 2012 all over again!
how is this year like 2012
oh ok. I thought you were referring to like the year Brave won
Whi cared, Miyazaki will win it anyway.
I sure hope so
Why do you want some one trick pony that's been making the same film over and over to win?
I didn't know Makoto Shinkai was going to win. That's a trash take on Hayao Miyazaki
Talking about Shinkai, maybe Suzume could get in? Though I think the Academy has never nominated more than one anime
Miyasaki has very distinct eras in his films. He has stories about romance, about ecology, he has surrealist movies, historical movies, action-adventure and quiet films too.
The Wind Rises is nothing like Totoro. Totoro is nothing like Mononoke. Mononoke is nothing like Howl. Howl is nothing like Ponyo
Gaming journalism back in the 00s taught me to not give a frick about reviews and awards because they're all self-congratulating or paid promotions from vermin people who live in another reality. And Eurovision after Lordi won further cemented it.
What I'm trying to say is frick award ceremonies such as the Oscars.